Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.037782 0.041199 0.044654 0.048401 0.052344 0.056363 0.060765
2025-09-14 0.032802 0.037877 0.043187 0.049133 0.055579 0.062333 0.069923
2025-09-21 0.028693 0.034924 0.041649 0.049391 0.058000 0.067226 0.077807
2025-09-28 0.026173 0.033377 0.041368 0.050783 0.061471 0.073134 0.086728
2025-10-05 0.022921 0.030667 0.039496 0.050142 0.062471 0.076154 0.092342
2025-10-12 0.020593 0.028805 0.038403 0.050214 0.064131 0.079801 0.098574
2025-10-19 0.018917 0.027565 0.037903 0.050858 0.066353 0.084016 0.105400
2025-10-26 0.017650 0.026712 0.037772 0.051856 0.068926 0.088593 0.112619
2025-11-02 0.015225 0.024196 0.035438 0.050044 0.068033 0.089028 0.114951
2025-11-09 0.013696 0.022730 0.034316 0.049628 0.068742 0.091287 0.119368
2025-11-16 0.012365 0.021428 0.033316 0.049288 0.069481 0.093534 0.123736
2025-11-23 0.011860 0.021228 0.033722 0.050709 0.072382 0.098378 0.131203
2025-11-30 0.011184 0.020761 0.033774 0.051698 0.074793 0.102704 0.138159
2025-12-07 0.010421 0.020115 0.033547 0.052301 0.076711 0.106434 0.144422
2025-12-14 0.009583 0.019295 0.033035 0.052493 0.078082 0.109485 0.149867
2025-12-21 0.009208 0.019151 0.033444 0.053900 0.081011 0.114470 0.157687
2025-12-28 0.008223 0.017977 0.032337 0.053216 0.081200 0.116023 0.161293
2026-01-04 0.007543 0.017235 0.031808 0.053282 0.082339 0.118747 0.166332
2026-01-11 0.007083 0.016821 0.031728 0.053946 0.084248 0.122436 0.172564
2026-01-18 0.006754 0.016603 0.031922 0.054981 0.086645 0.126744 0.179580
2026-01-25 0.005734 0.015086 0.030088 0.053098 0.085102 0.126000 0.180260
2026-02-01 0.005143 0.014284 0.029301 0.052665 0.085474 0.127684 0.183970
2026-02-08 0.004620 0.013556 0.028591 0.052311 0.085930 0.129460 0.187785